澳大利亚一季度GDP数据不及预期 澳元兑美元升破0.70关口

中国金融信息网2019年06月05日09:55分类:外汇

新华财经北京6月5日电 亚洲交易时段,澳大利亚统计局(ABS)公布数据显示,澳大利亚经济在2019年3月季度经季节性调整的连锁数量增长0.4%。

澳大利亚统计局首席经济学家表示,政府支出是增长的主要因素,反映了残疾,健康和老年护理服务的持续提供。家庭支出放缓并为增长带来适度的0.1%,反映出家具和家用设备,娱乐和文化以及酒店,咖啡馆和餐馆等可自由支配商品的支出减少。本季度住宅投资继续减少。房地产市场放缓导致所有权转移成本大幅下降,尤其是印花税。

澳大利亚经济继续增长,但比长期平均值3.5%更慢。

机构评澳大利亚第一季度GDP数据认为,澳大利亚矿业投资的逐步回升以及对该国大宗商品的强劲出口需求将有助于明年更广泛的经济增长。

澳大利亚与建筑相关的主要资源是铁矿石和炼焦(或冶金)煤炭。这些商品是钢铁生产的关键投入,占2018年澳大利亚资源总出口的40%以上,高于21世纪初的20%。

图1:澳大利亚与建筑相关的出口

Data on economic growth in Australia from January to March 2019.

Some say this data point is very dated and much has changed since. They have a point (or more than one). Gotten worse.

Comes in at a softer than expected 0.4% q/q

expected 0.5% q/q, prior 0.2%

For the y/y, comes in at 1.8%

expected 1.8%, prior 2.3%

Australian Bureau of Statistics with the grim highlights:

Government spending was the main contributor to growth reflecting ongoing delivery of services in disability, health and aged care.

Household spending slowed and contributed a modest 0.1 per cent to growth reflecting reduced spending on discretionary goods such as furnishing and household equipment, recreation and culture and hotels, cafes and restaurants.

Dwelling investment continued to detract this quarter. The slowing housing market has resulted in significant falls in ownership transfer costs, particularly stamp duty.

"The Australian economy continues to grow but more slowly than our long term average of 3.5 per cent."

Exports a private sector bright spot. A bit at least.

编辑:马萌伟

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